Team Cognitive Health playbook/Module 9 · Change & uncertainty

Day 82 / 100 · Change & uncertainty · Why uncertainty drains teams

Not knowing is harder than bad news.

A 2016 study (de Berker et al.) found that people's stress peaked when outcomes were most uncertain. Not when they were worst.

Endless scenarios

The Brain Keeps Simulating

  • Rehearsing every possible outcome
  • A constant drain on attention
  • Focus goes to worry, not work

Threat mode

Alert, Not Creative

  • Narrower thinking
  • Less risk-taking
  • More rumour-seeking

Paralysis

Why Start If It Might Change?

  • Decisions deferred
  • Investment stops
  • Good people explore exits

Source: Nature Communications ↗

Share what you know, what you don't, and when you will.