Product Management playbook/Module 6 · Evidence

Day 51 / 100 · Evidence · Writing a good hypothesis

Turn opinions into testable bets.

A hypothesis states what you'll change, for whom, what you expect, and how you'll know. Most importantly, it can be proven wrong.

We believe [this change] for [these customers] will [produce this outcome]. We'll know we're right when [this metric moves this much, by this date].

The Template

If it can’t fail, it isn’t a test.